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Peter Swan: 10 points will win Hull City promotion

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TEN should be the magic number for Hull City. Collect that many points from the last five games and automatic promotion to the Premier League will surely be confirmed. It won't be easy, especially at an in-form Ipswich Town side on Saturday, but that must be the aim. The closer we get to the finishing line, the more it looks like a straight fight between City and Watford for the second automatic spot. Even with Cardiff only drawing 1-1 at home to Barnsley on Tuesday night, it's incredibly hard to envisage them not being one of the sides heading for the top flight. It might not be out of the question for City to close a six-point gap, but for Watford to make up nine would need a huge collapse from Malky Mackay's side. That's not something they've done all season so don't bank on it happening now. Behind Watford are sides that must be turning their attentions to the play-offs. Crystal Palace have wobbled at exactly the wrong time and they'll soon need snookers if they're going to overtake Watford and City. For Nottingham Forest, Brighton, Leicester and Bolton, it's all about making the top six. That leaves the teams currently in second and third scrapping it out to avoid the play-offs and I'm still confident we'll be the ones celebrating at the KC Stadium on May 4. A three-point lead – effectively two given the goal differences – should give Steve Bruce's men a lot of confidence. They're the side in pole position and at this stage of the season that's all that matters. So long as Bruce keeps waking up on a Sunday morning in that position, he'll be a happy man. Gianfranco Zola, Watford's manager, has attempted to take the weight off his side by saying it's other teams who will be under pressure. I understand what Zola's saying but he knows as well as anyone that he'd desperately love to swap places with City and take all of that pressure on. No one is ever happy in third. If the pressure is on the Tigers, I'm yet to see it. They might have fallen below their high standards in the last two games but that's not about nerves. A nervous player wants nothing to do with the ball and goes missing. You could accuse City of not playing well against Watford and Middlesbrough, but not of those charges as individuals. The key will be taking at one step at a time and not worrying about how Watford do. The reality will be the opposite. It's impossible not to look at run-ins and league tables at this time of the year, it's human nature. The only thing I would say about the Championship, though, is that it makes no odds who you are playing. As we saw this week, a Barnsley side fighting relegation has gone to the league-leaders Cardiff and snatched a point. We've had funny results all season in the Championship and it'll only get funnier. City's next four games are against sides in the bottom 10 but that doesn't count for much when you see the form table. The teams fighting relegation are the ones stringing the results together. Ipswich will be tough with Mick McCarthy's side starting to enjoy themselves, but Wolves away on Tuesday might be a good time to put the pressure on a struggling side. Bristol City are all but condemned to relegation and then it's an in-form Barnsley side away. Cardiff complete the five games facing City when visiting on the final day. I'm sure supporters will be analysing every last result for the next few weeks but it's all about what we see Bruce's side do. Play to their full potential and they'll pick up 10 points. Watford would need to do something very special then and that's when the pressure could really show.

Peter Swan: 10 points will win Hull City promotion


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